{"id":7881,"date":"2013-09-07T15:55:56","date_gmt":"2013-09-07T19:55:56","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.southsidecentral.com\/wordpress\/?p=7881"},"modified":"2013-09-07T16:03:29","modified_gmt":"2013-09-07T20:03:29","slug":"14th-district-house-race-update-1-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.southsidecentral.com\/wordpress\/2013\/09\/07\/14th-district-house-race-update-1-2\/","title":{"rendered":"14th District House Race &#8211; Update #1"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Let&#8217;s take a look at the upcoming 14th District House of Delegates race. We&#8217;re got Danville&#8217;s Danny Marshall, a long-time incumbent, facing Danville&#8217;s Vice-Mayor Gary Miller. There&#8217;s also comic relief in the race but we&#8217;ll get to that later&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p>Incumbent Danny Marshall is running for his 7th two-year term in the Hose and has fought off some good challengers as well as easily won some predictable victories. In 2013, he&#8217;s facing off against Gary Miller, a Danville cardiologist who&#8217;s also vice-mayor. Interestingly, Marshall is also being challenged from the right by Henry County&#8217;s Mary Martin who&#8217;s running as an independent.<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Strengths &amp; Weaknesses<\/em><\/strong>:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Marshall<\/strong>: Marshall knows the ropes in Richmond and is a rather strong presence for Southside. He plays well to the conservative base but has no problem voting against the far-right members of his party as he did this year when he supported the transportation bill. Some Republicans cried out &#8220;TAX INCREASER!&#8221; and Marshall doesn&#8217;t seem to care. That independent streak that Marshall has is impressive to a lot of people. Campaign financing won&#8217;t be an issue at all for Marshall. he&#8217;s got plenty of money and could easily raise anything more that he&#8217;d need.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Miller<\/strong>: Miller has a lot of local government experience which translated well into state government.\u00a0 Miller has pretty much of the same name recognition that Marshall has inside the Danville area but he&#8217;s got to work on getting his message out to the rest of the district. While Miller is known as one of the more liberal members of Danville City Council, that&#8217;s really not saying much as local politics rarely dissolve into liberal\/conservative issues.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Martin<\/strong>: Martin was elected to one term on the Henry County School Board as an at-large representative in 2003, then was promptly sent packing by a 41%-59% in the 2007 election. Before declaring her independent candidacy,\u00a0 Martin was rather active with the Republican party, but has isolated herself from them with this run for office. Martin is a self-appointed advocate for fairness in electric rates but has no results to show for this advocacy. She has very little name recognition in anywhere east of the Henry\/Pittsylvania county line and probably won&#8217;t even at election day.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Let&#8217;s take a look at the Path To Victory for these candidates&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Path To Victory<\/strong><\/em>:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Marshall<\/strong>: Marshall&#8217;s only serious challenge to re-election was back in 2007 when he faced Danville&#8217;s Adam Tomer. That campaign got hijacked by state and national money and became an embarrassment to everybody involved. Marshall learned how to win in tough times and he hasn&#8217;t been seriously challenged since. One of the lessons that he learned was to never be outspent in advertising and his bottomless campaign resources won&#8217;t ever let that happen. Marshall also is fortunate that he&#8217;s well-liked by most and the ones who say that they don&#8217;t like him usually have to resort to &#8220;because he&#8217;s Republican&#8221;. Considering that Gary Miller has been semi-silent up to now, Marshall&#8217;s strategy should be auto-pilot and attack with his own positive strengths.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Miller<\/strong>: To have any chance of defeating a long-time incumbent, Miller&#8217;s got to get his message out to the voters. So far in the campaign, he hasn&#8217;t shown any positions on issues that are much different that Marshall&#8217;s. He&#8217;s ran a quiet campaign so far and that could be related to financial issues. Miller needs to start making a big push now and tell the voters why he&#8217;s a better selection than Marshall. Miller&#8217;s got to crank up the fundraising and campaign cash, because Marshall can outspend him without blinking.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Martin<\/strong>: There&#8217;s no chance in hell of Mary Martin winning. Marshall would have to have a piano dropped on him and Miller would have to be caught outside in a bowling-ball shower. The only chance of Mary Martin breaking into competitiveness would be the Zombie Apocalypse, as brains would be in short supply.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><em><strong>Final Analysis<\/strong><\/em>:<\/p>\n<p>Danny Marshall started off in the lead because of his experience and his likeability. Gary Miller has got to ramp it up quickly to make this race competitive. Mary Martin is comic relief and we&#8217;ll have fun with her candidacy over the next two months.<\/p>\n<p>As of right now, we&#8217;re very tempted to put this race into the &#8220;SAFE&#8221; column but we&#8217;re not quite up to that threshold. That being said, SouthsideCentral has no problem in rating the 14th District Virginia House of Delegates as &#8220;<strong>Strongly Likely &#8211; Marshall<\/strong>&#8221; as of now.<\/p>\n<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on the_content --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on the_content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Let&#8217;s take a look at the upcoming 14th District House of Delegates race. We&#8217;re got Danville&#8217;s Danny Marshall, a long-time incumbent, facing Danville&#8217;s Vice-Mayor Gary Miller. There&#8217;s also comic relief in the race but we&#8217;ll get to that later&#8230;<\/p>\n<p> [&#8230;]<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on get_the_excerpt --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on get_the_excerpt --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"\"14th District House Race - Update #1\" - New Southside Central article at http:\/\/bit.ly\/169vbww","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[58,64,22,26,28],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7881","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-danville","category-henry-county","category-opinioncentral","category-pittsylvania-county","category-politicscentral","odd"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/pwqFk-237","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":8051,"url":"https:\/\/www.southsidecentral.com\/wordpress\/2013\/10\/29\/14th-district-house-race-update-2-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":7881,"position":0},"title":"14th District House Race &#8211; Update #2","author":"SouthsideCentral","date":"October 29, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"Let's see what's been going on in the 14th District House of Delegates race in this (probably final) update... Here's what we wrote for Update #1... Recap: Incumbent Danny Marshall (R) is facing challengers Gary Miller (D) and Mary Martin (I). Notes since last update: Marshall: Danny Marshall is doing\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Danville&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Danville","link":"https:\/\/www.southsidecentral.com\/wordpress\/category\/locations\/danville\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":8083,"url":"https:\/\/www.southsidecentral.com\/wordpress\/2013\/11\/04\/endorsement-danny-marshall-for-14th-district-house-of-delegates\/","url_meta":{"origin":7881,"position":1},"title":"Endorsement: Danny Marshall for 14th District House of Delegates","author":"SouthsideCentral","date":"November 4, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"SouthsideCentral wraps up our endorsements for the Virginia House of Delegates by endorsing Danny Marshall in the 14th District. Danny Marshall is looking for his seventh term in the House of Delegates and for the first time, he's drawn two opponents. He's being challenged by Danville's Gary Miller (D) and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Danville&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Danville","link":"https:\/\/www.southsidecentral.com\/wordpress\/category\/locations\/danville\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4283,"url":"https:\/\/www.southsidecentral.com\/wordpress\/2009\/06\/19\/14th-district-house-race-update-1\/","url_meta":{"origin":7881,"position":2},"title":"14th District House Race &#8211; Update #1","author":"SouthsideCentral","date":"June 19, 2009","format":false,"excerpt":"The 14th District includes Danville, southern Pittsylvania county and southeastern Henry County. Let's take a look at the race. Danny Marshall is a 4-term incumbent who barely hung on to his seat 2 years ago. He beat Danville City Councilman Adam Tomer 52-48 in a very nasty campaign that totaled\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Danville&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Danville","link":"https:\/\/www.southsidecentral.com\/wordpress\/category\/locations\/danville\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5637,"url":"https:\/\/www.southsidecentral.com\/wordpress\/2009\/10\/18\/14th-district-house-race-update-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":7881,"position":3},"title":"14th District House Race \u2013 Update #2","author":"SouthsideCentral","date":"October 18, 2009","format":false,"excerpt":"Last Update: 14th District House Race \u2013 Update #1 It's a strange political season when a city's Sheriff's and Commonwealth Attorney's election get more attention than the House of Delegates' one does. Thoughts: Incumbent Danny Marshall is facing challenger Seward Anderson in a race that's much different than 2 years\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;OpinionCentral&quot;","block_context":{"text":"OpinionCentral","link":"https:\/\/www.southsidecentral.com\/wordpress\/category\/opinioncentral\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":6192,"url":"https:\/\/www.southsidecentral.com\/wordpress\/2010\/01\/17\/danville-city-council-race-update-1\/","url_meta":{"origin":7881,"position":4},"title":"Danville City Council Race &#8211; Update #1","author":"SouthsideCentral","date":"January 17, 2010","format":false,"excerpt":"Four Danville City Council seats will be up for grabs on May 4th. Since the Register & Bee has started the ball rolling with an article about the race, let's start drilling down into some scenarios and play with some speculation. First, let's see who's up for re-election. Gary Miller\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Danville&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Danville","link":"https:\/\/www.southsidecentral.com\/wordpress\/category\/locations\/danville\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5699,"url":"https:\/\/www.southsidecentral.com\/wordpress\/2009\/10\/27\/endorsement-danny-marshall-for-14th-district-delegate\/","url_meta":{"origin":7881,"position":5},"title":"Endorsement: Danny Marshall for 14th District Delegate","author":"SouthsideCentral","date":"October 27, 2009","format":false,"excerpt":"Danny Marshall has been a very good and effective Delegate for the 14th District and we believe that he deserves re-election. Danny Marshall is running for his fifth term in Virginia's House of Delegates and barely survived one of Southside's all-time classic elections against Adam Tomer in 2007. That campaign\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Endorsements&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Endorsements","link":"https:\/\/www.southsidecentral.com\/wordpress\/category\/politicscentral\/endorsements\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.southsidecentral.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7881","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.southsidecentral.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.southsidecentral.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.southsidecentral.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.southsidecentral.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7881"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/www.southsidecentral.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7881\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7887,"href":"https:\/\/www.southsidecentral.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7881\/revisions\/7887"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.southsidecentral.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7881"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.southsidecentral.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7881"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.southsidecentral.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7881"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}